Description: An introductory article describing how Bayesian statistics has evolved over the past 20 years and why it offers the actuarial discipline powerful tools to better understand and manage risk. Compared with traditional (frequentist) and black-box (machine learning) approaches, Bayesian analysis provides explainable models focused on distributions of estimates instad of simply point estimates.

Description: The momentum in value-based care has produced an opportunity for actuaries to become pioneers in health care

Description: An article presenting updated results as of 12/2021 by using analgorithm that formed part of a paper presented at the AFIR-ERMColloquium which took place in Panama, in 2017. This article starts by proving that the conditions that have to be met in order for the formula to apply that were present in 12/2015 still hold.

Description: The Drake Risk and Insurance Workshop on Catastrophe Risk took place virtually on February 19, 2021, hosted by the School of Actuarial Science & Risk Management in the College of Business and Public Administration at Drake University. The purpose of this article is to share with the actuarial science community some experience in organizing this event amidst the COVID-19 pandemic.

Description: Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that arises when comparing sequential data points. It states that when an initial observation is extreme or an outlier, future observations will be closer to the average. Health care actuaries need to understand and be able to mitigate the effects of regression to the mean to avoid misapplying predictive models or misstating measurements of historical effects.

Description: Feature article discussing image recognition and how it may affect actuaries in the future.

Description: This article discusses the publication of the “Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Assessment”

Description: Expect to cover key points from the Living to 100 conference around living and social environments for the elderly. Following the review will be a discussion about implications related to LTCI plans and policies around living environments. It will conclude with a peak behind the curtain for pricing for CCRCs.

Description: Actuaries can be well suited to provide consulting to both DB and DC plans. We focus on DC design and the important nondiscrimination test requirements that need to be at the core of a plan design project. Plan design for DC plans seems easy, but should not be looked at any less seriously than DB plan design. The key steps are the same as DB plan design. We review key concepts that plan design actuaries want to know.