Description: Tree models have been found to provide a good fit to group long term disability recovery and mortality rates. This research paper provides an overview of tree models, and details how they have been used for developing these rates.

Description: Actuarial Standards of Practice (ASOPs) are critical to an actuary's work, but staying abreast of changes to ASOPs could be challenging. Several ASOPs have been created or updated in the last few years while ValAct was on hiatus. Are you up to date? This session will focus on ASOPs 7, 11, 28, 41 and 57. Come ready to play, as we challenge your knowledge of these ASOPs in a fun game show format. By the end of this session, attendees will learn the major provisions included in ASOPs that have been recently updated or created and understand how their work may be impacted by these recent changes.

Description: This webcast will walk through several statistical methods for imputing race and ethnicity from U.S. datasets, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses, talking about how to use them and evaluating their accuracy, and telling you where you can get code packages as well as a free dataset to try the methods out.

Description: Every patient leaving the hospital has personal life-context circumstances that impact their chances of successful recovery and complications can be costly. Complex care management impacts over 50 percent of health care spend, with the admitted commercial population driving 37 percent of spend or $177M per 100,000 lives and the Medicare population driving 53 percent of spend or $600 million per 100,000 lives. The stakes are high, but existing care management solutions are mostly clinical and navigation call centers provide fragmented and outdated patient management systems, and do not address individual life-context. Discharged patients therefore remain underengaged and undercompliant, leading to costly complications. Innovative technology can help enable and integrate systems and existing infrastructure to leverage evidence-based contextualized care that will enhance care management, improve efficiency, and drive a better experience and outcomes for patients. This technology helps codifies life context, dynamically stratifying and engaging members digitally and telephonically helping virtual care teams to be more effective and efficient. In a recent randomized clinical trial, this technology and approach has shown a 50 percent reduction in the total cost of care, cutting the average and total cost of readmission, increasing virtual care team impact and member engagement and trust.

Description: Explore historical trends in enrollment, carrier participation, and competition over the first 10 years of the individual marketplace as a basis to frame what the future could hold for the next 10 years. Draw parallels to other lines of business (e.g., Medicare Advantage, employer group) as we look at how the market may evolve and the capabilities required to succeed. This session would be valuable for anyone interested in consumer purchasing behavior, quality and risk adjustment, employer benefits, provider dynamics, and the individual market more broadly. By attending this this session, you will be able to articulate the impact of recent legislation and regulatory actions on the Individual market, including subsidies, employer funding vehicles (e.g., ICHRA), distribution channels, and product requirements.

Description: As more gene and cell therapies enter the market at increasingly higher price points, they are ushering in a new era of medicine for rare diseases. Unlike most traditional therapies, gene and cell therapies typically have a short or one-time treatment administration and are anticipated to provide long-term clinical benefits. Actuaries must be prepared to assess, manage, and/or mitigate the risks associated with these therapies. This session includes three different perspectives—a regional plan, a stop loss/reinsurance carrier, and a health care consultant.

Description: This Society of Actuaries Research Brief has been constructed to highlight some of the key features of the COVID-19 epidemic and contemplate the risks for the actuarial profession to consider in their work.

Description: As part of an upcoming Society of Actuaries (SOA) research release to model health care costs in 2020 and 2021, a set of “Return Stages” were created in order to define the various level of activities being observed, as well as to contemplate the ways these stages may progress as various cities, counties and states release their own phasing processes for returning their jurisdictions to normal.

Description: "A crucial importance in forecasting is to be able to distinguish cases when temporary slowdowns in health care utilization are followed by a “rebound” period of higher utilization. Come explore an analysis of a new mathematical model describing the return-of-care process. By means of simulation and case studies using the R programming language, the relationship between the visibility of these effects and the endogenous variance of the utilization time series is explored. After attending this session, you will be able to: Describe the parameters and mathematical form of the model Apply the model to real-world utilization data"