Description: The recent global pandemic, coupled with a rising interest rate environment, has emphasized the need for life insurers to be well-prepared for challenges on multiple fronts. Join industry experts in actuarial science and asset-liability management (ALM) as they discuss the significance of incorporating comprehensive pandemic modeling, mortality modeling, lapse modeling, liquidity analysis, and ALM strategies into the risk management framework of life insurance companies. Through case studies and interactive discussions, learn how to utilize systems and APIs from disparate risk models to integrate into an overall analysis to assess the short and long term impacts of the confluence of risk factors on your business, identify vulnerabilities, and implement proactive risk management strategies to enhance resilience and maintain long-term profitability.

Description: An introductory article describing how Bayesian statistics has evolved over the past 20 years and why it offers the actuarial discipline powerful tools to better understand and manage risk. Compared with traditional (frequentist) and black-box (machine learning) approaches, Bayesian analysis provides explainable models focused on distributions of estimates instad of simply point estimates.

Description: We're introducing a new “cutting edge” wealth accumulation predictive framework, the predictive equity analytics (PEA) for life products (annuity, insurance, group employer benefits, retirement plan). PEA enables life insurers and policyholders to avoid market downturns and capture returns from equities (stocks, ETFs and mutual funds) predicted to increase in next one to three trade days via fund prediction advisory by insurers, additionally by individual policyholders. The capability does not exist in insurance markets nor in financial intermediary markets.

Description: Reference Based Pricing (RBP) efforts have increased in popularity as tools to reduce the cost of care. Now with the ability to use CMS health plan transparency information, organizations can estimate the impact of savings from the use of RBP. This session will share the results of an analysis of this in the form of a case study.

Description: As the speed of technological innovation increases, actuarial leaders are trying to determine how to use emerging technologies to unlock more business value and improve competitive positioning. This includes enabling new capabilities, improving process efficiency, and increasing the effectiveness of human capital. The session will discuss what we are hearing from clients who are in the process of transforming their business, how they are approaching these transformations, and what they are focusing on. This will include different aspects of transformation, including visualization dashboards, data science applications, no-code platforms, automation, data, and the cloud. Find out how organizations are thinking of human capital and collaboration between actuaries, IT, and other professionals.

Description: Gather with members and non-members in the China actuarial community to discuss recent topics and related issues in areas such as macroeconomic sharing, pension, investment, product strategy, and more.

Description: Traditional risk scoring models include only fixed (non-random) demographic and condition-based variables. By including the provider effect as part of the risk scoring model as a random effect, we can get better estimates of provider performance (incorporating practice patterns conditional on patient morbidity profile). This approach can be generalized to study other factors that are now masked in error variance (i.e. area, Social Determinants) but if modeled could give us better estimates of risk

Description: As actuaries in health care, we spend most of our time focused on reviewing claims, enrollment and clinical data. That information is captured while patients are in health care facilities. Yet most people spend only a small fraction of their time in these facilities. This article explores what types of data are available to actuaries the provide a more holistic view of the member so that a members physical and emotional needs, the social determinants of health can be taken into consideration along with their clinical needs. Two uses cases are presented so actuaries can see how these types of analyses can be leveraged to improve clinical, operational, and financial performance of risk bearing health entities. Understanding the customer (member) not just the patient enables actuaries to provide new insights and values to our stakeholders across a wide range of business and risk applications.

Description: "Artificial Intelligence can bring many benefits to the insurance business, but also many risks that need to be identified and managed. In this video, Dave Ingram FSA MAAA, a SOA Board member and host of the podcast Crossing Thin Ice, discusses some of the common applications and risks of AI for insurance operations and actuarial work. He also shares his top 10 AI risks and some tips for finding the right balance between overconfidence and fear when adopting AI. Contributors: Dave Ingram FSA, MAAA ; Chris Lombardi FSA, MAAA, and Jon Forster ASA, MAAA "

Description: This video covers the essentials of model validation and measures of accuracy in actuarial AI models. You'll learn about the steps, techniques, and tools involved in validating and measuring the accuracy of AI models in actuarial work. You'll also see a practical case study that demonstrates how these concepts are applied in a real-world scenario. Contributors: Chris Smith ASA, MAAA; Henry Chen FSA, MAAA; Jon Forster ASA, MAAA