Description: The Survey of Emerging Risks has been successfully conducted in North America for 15 years, which provides a consistent report by tracking the opinions of risk managers on the emerging topics beyond the current business cycle with strategic plans over decades. For the first time the survey is also being specifically introduced in China and Greater Asia, with the aim of surveying the actuarial and risk management professionals' opinions on emerging risks in the local market. In relation to the Society of Actuaries, Greater Asia is defined as markets that participate in our Greater Asia Committee. These are additional areas outside of mainland China that include markets such as Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam. The survey is sponsored by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute and comprises both quantitative and qualitative questions in English and Chinese (Simplified). With a wide range of response options and allowing for anonymous comments, the survey results serve as a platform to share the risk views of local actuaries and risk managers in China and Greater Asia.

Description: Broaden your understanding of how long-term care (LTC) is provided and brainstorm with other actuaries on ways to help society fund future LTC solutions. How we fund and provide LTC for our loved ones has changed over time and will evolve still by the time we retire. In this session we will explore the variety of ways that we fund LTC services: out of pocket and with informal care, Medicaid, lifeplan communities (Continuing Care Retirement Communities and and the Continuing Care at Home model), private LTC insurance and more. You will leave the session appreciating that providing long-term care is a key feature of our aging society and understand the variety of ways that we fund LTC today and may in the future.

Description: The U.S. life insurance industry has been increasing its exposure to complex assets, either directly as investors or via offshore reinsurance (e.g., Bermuda). In order to address regulatory concerns about such investments and reinsurance arrangements, the NAIC has begun multiple initiatives to improve disclosure and strengthen regulatory requirements, and the Bermuda Monetary Authority is also strengthening its requirements. Hear a summary of these initiatives, and get an update on the latest developments at the NAIC and at the Academy on these topics.

Description: Learn about prevalence-induced concept change and other cognitive biases. And find out how such biases can be linked to common actuarial practices (e.g., the application of the bias to stringency of enterprise risk management frameworks, in the case of prevalence-induced concept change). You should leave the session with the ability to understand how these biases could affect your work.

Description: Join the IAJ (the Institute of Actuaries of Japan) as they deep dive the Japan mortality and morbidity trend impacted by COVID-19. During COVID-19, Japan experienced increasing COVID-19 patients and deteriorated morbidity trend mainly due to deemed hospitalization. This was introduced to regard the treatment under the doctors' supervision outside of the hospital as hospitalization, given shortage of hospital beds, and add accident death benefit payment triggered by COVID-19. Expect coverage on the mortality/morbidity analysis comparison in Japan, US and globally, as well as comprehensively discuss how Japanese insurers identified solutions to respond to the changing market. Also, you'll discuss consumers' needs and how more uncertainty drives them to prepare individual lifetime retirement income.

Description: The Casualty Actuarial Society, Canadian Institute of Actuaries, and the Society of Actuaries' Joint Risk Management Section and the Joint Risk Management Research Committee are pleased to make available a new report on the application of ERM. Authored by Bonnie-Jeanne MacDonald, Sim Segal, Michael Wolfson and Heidi Walsh, the report provides a novel demonstration on how ERM can be applied to serve the Canadian public by informing decision makers on the risks facing the current and future delivery of long-term care.

Description: This research report examines readers to Insurance-linked securities (ILSs) emphasizing catastrophe bonds (CAT) and industry loss warranties (ILWs).

Description: This research report summarizes methodologies used for yield curve extrapolation to value liability cash flows that extend beyond the maximum observavble portion of the yield curve.

Description: Modeling Approaches and Challenges focuses on approaches to real world simulation and the challenges and considerations in real world simulation. Topics include: A frequency domain approach to build realistic multi-horizon scenarios. (Ortec approach) Cascade models structure linking models for major asset classes and economic variables. (Moody’s approach) Overview of models, calibrations & approaches within the context of different use cases. Deterministic & stochastic approaches. Importance of model re-calibration flexibility. We will also discuss specific insights into considerations and challenges in real world simulation, which include topics like: Setting capital market assumptions and/or calibration targets. Assumptions about correlation and causality. Calibrating the model to capital markets assumptions. Validating the model against capital market assumptions. Role of history, market data and stylized facts. Importance of back testing. Calibrating the model to multiple investment horizons. Inclusion of alterative asset classes such as private equity, infrastructure, and direct real estate. Associated issues of limited data, illiquidity and greater uncertainty about calibration targets.

Description: Observe how design thinking can be used to address emerging uncertainty in insurance. (Design thinking is a non-linear, iterative process teams use to understand users, challenge assumptions, redefine problems and create innovative solutions to prototype and test.) According to Fostering Innovation: A Guide for the Actuarial Profession, there is a need for more innovation in the actuarial profession. “A benefit of working in large, well-established organizations is that these workplaces have many problems to solve, but offer many resources, as well as a network of people for collaboration. However, it is interesting to note that the stability and predictability of cyclic work may also be seen as a negative by workplace employees, especially concerning creativity and innovation.