The Potential Impact of AI on Human Longevity and the Consequences for Modeling Future Survival/Mortality: A Collection of Essays

April 2025

The Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute’s Mortality and Longevity Strategic Research Program Steering Committee established a call for essays series to gather a variety of perspectives on the application of AI to mortality and longevity. The objective of this call for essays, the second in the series, is to create a resource that focuses on the use of AI to potentially extend human longevity and the implications for modeling future survival/mortality.

The collection includes nine essays that were accepted for publication from all submissions. Two essays were chosen for prizes based on their creativity, originality, and likelihood of further thought on the subject matter.

Prize Winners:
From Gompertz to AI: The Evolution of Mortality Modeling in an Age of Longevity Breakthroughs 
Stefanos Orfanos, FSA, CERA

Modernizing Mortality Modeling: The Actuary’s Response to AI-Driven Longevity Gains 
Nii Amoo Decardi-Nelson, Graduate Student (MSc Mathematics)

Remaining Essays:

How Might the Use of AI to Improve Life Expectancy Impact Traditional Actuarial Methods for Projecting Future Mortality? 
Emily Dave, FSA, FIA

The Role of AI in Extending Human Longevity and the Implications for Mortality Modeling
Niranjan Rajendran, B.Sc. (Hons)

AI-Driven Disruption: Bridging Health Disparities, Preparing for Longevity Shocks, and Exploring Extreme Life Extension
Kailan Shang, FSA, CFA, PRM, SCJP

Implications of AI Advancement on Human Lifespan and Considerations for Mortality Assumption Setting
Peik Hong Tan, FSA

Transformative Horizons: Generative AI’s Role in Medicine and Mortality Modeling
Tianyang Wang

AI as a Principal Driver of Mortality Improvement
Gordon Woo, Ph.D.

Chatting with AI about AI Driven Longevity
Nate Worrell, FSA and Lisanne Horvat-Gitsels, Ph.D.

Impact of AI on Human Longevity Essay Collection

Acknowledments

The SOA Research Institute thanks the Mortality and Longevity Strategic Research Program Steering Committee for their careful review and judging of the submitted essays, especially Larry Stern, FSA, MAAA and Yutaro Kameda, FSA. Any views and ideas expressed in the essays are the author’s alone and may not reflect the Committee’s views and ideas nor those of their employers, the authors’ employers, the Society of Actuaries, the Society of Actuaries Research Institute, nor Society of Actuaries members.

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